My Caucus Predictions

by Stephan Tawney on January 3, 2008

Everyone else is doing it, so I will, too. So, here they are:

Republicans

  1. Mike Huckabee
  2. Mitt Romney
  3. John McCain
  4. Fred Thompson

Rudy’s never actually counted on a win in Iowa, so his placement won’t matter terribly for his campaign.

Democrats

  1. Barack Obama
  2. Hillary Clinton
  3. John Edwards
  4. Don’t know.

Although I predict Hillary finishing first or second, a third place finish for her wouldn’t shock me. I’ve been hearing speculation on the news and online today that a bad placement in Iowa may be “the end for her” or some variation of that. I’m extremely doubtful. She raised over $100 million this past year, continues to be the national frontrunner, and leads in many other states.  Like Rudy, a loss in Iowa or New Hampshire would mean the end of her.



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