In a much-touted poll by Pew Research Center released last week, a majority of more than 24,000 people in 24 countries said they preferred Barack Obama to John McCain in 2008. But while Pew was interested in the opinion of Tanzanians (yes, really), what one country didn’t they poll? Iraq. You know, that country Democrats want to abandon to the wolves?
So which presidential candidate do Iraqis prefer?
Bret Stephans of the Wall Street Journal sat down with 4 key Iraqi provincial leaders — both Sunni and Shiite — who explained to him their preference this election.
“The Iraqis are really fearful about some of the positions the Democratic Party has adopted,” says Sheik Ahmed Abu Rishah. “If the Democrats win, they will be withdrawing their forces in a very rapid manner.”
Mamoun Sami Rashid al-Alawi, the governor of Anbar province, agrees. “We have over a million casualties, thousands of houses destroyed,” he says. “Are we going to tell [Iraqis] that the game is over? That the Americans are pulling out?”…
A sense of incredulity hangs over the way Iraqis see the U.S. political debate taking shape. The governor tells a moving story about their visit to Walter Reed hospital, where they were surprised to find smiles on the faces of GIs who had lost limbs. “The smile is because they feel they have accomplished something for the American people.”
But the Iraqis came away with a different impression in Chicago, where they had hoped to meet with Mr. Obama but ended up talking to a staff aide. “We noticed there was a concentration on the negatives,” the governor recalls. “The Democrat kept saying that Americans have committed a lot of mistakes. Yes, that’s true, but why don’t you concentrate on what the Americans have achieved in Iraq?”
The Iraqis are even more incredulous about Mr. Obama’s willingness to negotiate with Iran, which they see as a predatory regime. “Do you Americans forget what the Iranians did to your embassy?” asks the governor. “Don’t you know that Ahmadinejad was one of [the hostage takers]?”
Unfortunately many Americans have short-term memories, governor. From forgetting which party voted overwhelmingly for the Civil Rights Act of 1964 to forgetting the lessons of 9/11, many Americans forget things pretty quickly. What Iran has done is, unfortunately, no exception.
It’s not just Iran. “There is no other country that supports us,” says Gov. Awani. “What is happening in Iraq scares everyone,” by which he means the neighboring autocracies that have something to fear from a successful democratic model in their midst.
That only makes America’s ambivalence toward its democratic creation that much stranger to the Iraqis. Will the next administration abandon both its principles and its friends in the region? For what?…
Throughout our interview, the men did not stop fingering their prayer beads, as if their future hinges on their ability to make their case to the American public. They’re right: It does. Which is why Iraq, all but alone among the nations, will be praying for a McCain victory on the first Tuesday in November.
But, of course, what people in Tanzania think is much more important to Pew.


by Stephan Tawney on June 17, 2008