Philosophical Breakdown of the States

by Stephan Tawney on February 6, 2010

Gallup has this new, handy map dedicated to displaying the philosophical and political leanings of each state in the union. There are quite a few interesting results. For example:

Pennsylvania

  • Republican/ Republican Leaning: 38.2%
  • Democrat/Democrat Leaning: 50.1%

But, that said, here’s the ideological breakdown.

  • Conservative: 38.8%
  • Moderate: 38%
  • Liberal: 20%

Conservatism is the largest ideological group. Conservatives and moderates make up an astounding 76.8%, with liberals — in a state with 50.1% leaning or identifying as Democrats — only making up 20%.

That bodes well for a candidate like Pat Toomey, who’s likely to be running against the party-flipping and unpopular Arlen Specter.

Nevada

  • Republican/Republican Leaning: 38.8%
  • Democrat/ Democrat Leaning: 45.3%

But again, things look more promising when we get into ideological breakdown.

  • Conservative: 37.2%
  • Moderate: 36.8%
  • Liberal: 22.8%

Again, conservatism is the single largest ideological group in the home state of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. Conservatives and moderates make up about 74% of the population, with liberalism left at 22.8%.

New Hampshire

  • Republican/Republican Leaning: 38.5%
  • Democrat/ Democrat Leaning: 46.2%

Once again, ideology.

  • Conservative: 37.8%
  • Moderate: 35.7%
  • Liberal: 22.5%

Moderates and conservatives make up 73.5% of the population, again leaving liberals in the low-2os.

I won’t do every state, though I recommend checking out the graph.

The point here is that you shouldn’t assume that a typically-blue state will automatically break for Democrats this November. That should’ve been painfully obvious (to Democrats) in states like Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Virginia over the past few months.

If the Republican candidate can win over independents/moderates, and there’s countless polls to show he can, the party could pick up quite a few House and even Senate seats come November. Possibly enough to regain control of one or both chambers.



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