November is Newt Awareness Month.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Monday, 24% of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP say Romney is their most likely choice for their party’s presidential nominee with Gingrich at 22%. Romney’s two-point advantage is well within the survey’s sampling error.

Gingrich was at just 14% in the last poll conducted in October. Why his surge? Cain is dropping.

The poll also indicates that 14 percent back Cain, down 11 points from last month. Four women have alleged that Cain sexually harassed them during the late 1990s when he headed the National Restaurant Association. Cain denies the allegations.

“Cain is struggling with the charges of sexual harassment, and while most Republicans tend to dismiss those charges, roughly four in 10 Republicans think this is a serious matter and tend to believe the women who made those charges,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.

The survey indicates that only a bare majority of Republicans tend to believe Cain, and more than a third say he should end his presidential campaign. Among the general public, Cain has a bigger credibility problem – 50% of all Americans say they tend to believe the women and only a third say they believe Cain.

Rick Perry is at fourth place with just 12%.

Gingrich, of course, also has had personal issues with marriage and women. But here’s the thing: Everyone knows about that. So any surge he’s experiencing is occurring despite people knowing about his problems.

It’s not a case where he’ll fall a month from know because people will learn the truth about his past. They know. But they’re still flocking to him. Perhaps because he strongly defends his beliefs and refuses to accept the premise of biased questions from the media.

 Bottom line: The Republican primary remains fluid, and at this point we simply don’t know who will be facing Barack Obama and his failed policies come next November. It could be Romney. Could be Gingrich. Or maybe one of the others will rise or bounce back. It’s anyone’s game.